Yes on 40

New report debunks ‘billionaire exodus’ claims as California attracts record-breaking investment

California continues to dominate venture capital, proving Prop. 40 opponents’ economic scare tactics wrong

SACRAMENTO, Calif. — New data showing California attracted more than $335 billion in venture capital investment this year has definitively exposed the billionaire-backed campaign against Proposition 40, the California Billionaire Tax, for what it is: a dishonest effort to scare voters into believing a tax on billionaires will cause economic decline. In fact, Prop 40 is the way to protect the state’s innovation economy from crisis.

The new figures, reported by the Los Angeles Times using PitchBook data, underscore California’s continued dominance as the global center of innovation, entrepreneurship, and investment, even as opponents of Prop 40 have argued that asking the state’s wealthiest billionaires to pay their fair share would trigger a mass economic exodus.

“Despite lies from the billionaires and their allies, the evidence is overwhelming: the idea that a billionaire tax is scaring away wealth is a complete myth,” said Debru Carthan, Vice President of SEIU-United Healthcare Workers West, one of the lead sponsors of Proposition 40. “Prop 40 simply asks those who have benefited the most from California’s economy to pay their fair share and protect the healthcare system that millions of Californians rely on.

Don’t be fooled by the billionaire’s lies into thinking otherwise.”

The findings come as billionaire-backed opponents continue to argue that Prop 40 would drive investment out of California. Instead, the latest economic data shows that the state’s unmatched workforce, research institutions, entrepreneurial ecosystem, and access to capital continue to make California the nation’s engine of innovation.

The real threat comes from what would happen to California’s economy if voters do not pass Prop 40, including hundreds of thousands of job losses across the state, hospital and ER closures, and skyrocketing health insurance premiums.

According to the report:

  • California attracted more than $335 billion in venture capital investment this year.
  • The state raised ten times more venture capital than New York, its closest competitor. California also raised forty times more investment than Texas.
  • California’s economy reached $4.25 trillion, making it one of the largest economies in the world.
  • California is home to nearly 400 billion-dollar startup companies, more than any other state.
  • The Los Angeles area alone attracted nearly $8 billion across more than 200 venture capital deals, driven by continued investment in aerospace, defense, artificial intelligence, software, and advanced manufacturing.

In November, California voters will at last have a chance to make billionaires pay their fair share to help prevent that through Prop 40, a commonsense ballot initiative that places a one-time 5% tax on the wealth of approximately 200 billionaires who reside in the Golden State. Ninety percent of that funding will go to offset Medi-Cal cuts in order to prevent ER and other service closures, and 10% will go toward funding food assistance and public education.

Impact of federal healthcare cuts

  • Dozens of hospitals and ERs will close; dozens more will be forced to cut back services and lay off healthcare workers. The patient care crisis will worsen as patients are forced to wait longer and drive further for medical care.
  • Up to 3.4 million Californians could lose their healthcare coverage under Medicaid, including many seniors, children, veterans, and people with disabilities
  • The state could lose about $20 billion in federal healthcare funding every year — destabilizing the health care system and driving up health care costs for everyone.
  • Insurance premiums for Californians who purchase Affordable Care Act plans could rise as much as 97%, and an estimated 400,000 Californians could be priced out of healthcare altogether.

Impact of food assistance cuts

  • Currently, 5.5 million Californians benefit from food aid. 3.5 million are senior citizens and children.
  • At least 754,000 people could lose their entire monthly benefit, with over 3 million households facing reductions.
  • The estimated funding loss is $2.5 to $4.5 billion annually.
  • The SNAP/Cal-Fresh cuts, if not backfilled by other funding mechanisms, are expected to cost California approximately 400,000 jobs over the next nine years.

About Prop 40, the California Billionaire Tax Act

The Prop 40 California Billionaire Tax Act proposes a one-time emergency tax on the wealth of the state’s ultra-high-net-worth billionaires to safeguard Medi-Cal, keep hospitals and emergency rooms open, expand food assistance, and support public education. The initiative is a direct response to federal healthcare cuts under HR1 that threaten healthcare access and economic stability for millions of Californians.

Original article disclosure

Paid for by Yes on 40 – Billionaire Tax Now, Sponsored by Service Employees International Union – United Healthcare Workers West. Committee’s Top Funder Service Employees International Union – United Healthcare Workers West

Documented support

The following support is documented in published statements or announcements. An individual’s support does not by itself establish endorsement by their employer or institution.

Debru Carthan

Debru Carthan supports the California billionaire-tax initiative, identified as Proposition 40.

The dated article documents this endorsement or public statement of support. Source article (2026-07-17).

Arguments, evidence and sources

Additional context with attribution and source links. It distinguishes published evidence from the campaign’s proposed response and conclusions; it does not rewrite the original article.

Investment evidence addresses the campaign’s economic argument

The campaign cites July 10 Los Angeles Times reporting on unusually large California venture-capital inflows in its argument that the state remains an important place to invest and build companies.

Investment inflows do not establish each billionaire’s residence or prove that a proposed tax has no economic effects.

Evidence relevant to the wealth-flight argument

Omar Ocampo’s Institute for Policy Studies report observes that wealthy populations and aggregate wealth grew in Massachusetts and Washington after their tax changes. It offers a concrete comparison for the campaign’s response to claims of inevitable collapse following higher taxes on wealthy residents.

Different taxes and states; the comparison does not establish causation, eliminate migration risk or predict California’s outcome.

  • Wealth Expands After Higher State Taxes on High-Income Earners — Omar Ocampo; Institute for Policy Studies; 2025-04-28. Massachusetts and Washington comparisons provide evidence relevant to wealth-flight arguments. Their taxes differ from Prop 40; before-and-after growth does not establish that a tax caused growth or that no residents moved.

A dedicated healthcare, education and food-assistance response

The amended initiative directs 90% of funds available after administrative costs to healthcare and the remaining 10% to education and food assistance together. It is designed to replace threatened services with dedicated revenue rather than a general-purpose tax increase.

Proposed allocation, not a guarantee that every threatened service will be preserved.

  • 2026 Billionaire Tax Act — amended initiative 25-0024A1; 2025-11-24. Primary proposed text. The Attorney General hosts the filing; that is not an endorsement. Sections 4 and 5 govern allocations; proposed Revenue and Taxation Code sections 50301–50303 govern the tax and valuation.

People and institutions behind this support and evidence

Debru Carthan

Person. Identity connected to the documented support, authorship, or cited evidence on this page.

Affiliation: Service Employees International Union – United Healthcare Workers West.

Institute for Policy Studies

Organization / institution. Identity connected to the documented support, authorship, or cited evidence on this page.

Also identified as: IPS.

Identity: Official source 1

Los Angeles Times

Organization / institution. Identity connected to the documented support, authorship, or cited evidence on this page.

Identity: Official source 1

Omar Ocampo

Person. Identity connected to the documented support, authorship, or cited evidence on this page.

Affiliation: Institute for Policy Studies.

Identity: Official source 1